signal-probability-engine/weather-prediction — explained in plain English
Analysis updated 2026-05-18
Automatically check Polymarket temperature markets against live weather forecasts.
Paper trade weather-based strategies against a local ledger before risking money.
Run a continuous timer that places real trades when forecast-implied odds look favorable.
| signal-probability-engine/weather-prediction | germondai/trawl | suyancc/openai-plus-vxt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stars | 220 | 218 | 217 |
| Language | TypeScript | TypeScript | TypeScript |
| Setup difficulty | hard | moderate | moderate |
| Complexity | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Audience | developer | ops devops | general |
Figures from each repo's GitHub metadata at analysis time.
Requires a funded Polymarket wallet and a private key to place real trades.
This is an automated trading bot built for Polymarket, a prediction market platform where users bet on real-world outcomes. Specifically, it targets Polymarket's daily temperature markets, where traders bet on whether a city's highest temperature on a given day will fall within a certain range. The bot works by pulling weather forecasts from two sources: the National Weather Service for US cities and Open-Meteo for international locations. It then looks up the corresponding Polymarket temperature-range betting market for each city, checks whether the current price looks favorable against your entry thresholds, and either reports the signal, simulates a trade, or places a real order on the blockchain. You would use this if you want to automate weather-based trading on Polymarket without clicking through the interface manually. It supports three modes: a read-only signal mode that just prints what it would do, a paper trading mode that simulates trades against a local ledger, and a live execution mode that places actual orders using your connected wallet. The bot can run continuously on a timer, checking prices every 30 minutes. It requires a funded Polymarket wallet, your wallet private key, and network access to the weather and market APIs. Built with TypeScript running on Node.js, targeting the Polygon blockchain network.
An automated trading bot that bets on Polymarket's daily city temperature markets using live weather forecast data to find favorable prices.
Mainly TypeScript. The stack also includes TypeScript, Node.js, Polygon.
Setup difficulty is rated hard, with roughly 1h+ to a first successful run.
Mainly developer.
This repo across BitVibe Labs
Verify against the repo before relying on details.